Writing
What I’m thinking through.
Ideas, experiments, and everything that piques my curiosity as I navigate my career.
What should an AI agent do when the evidence is missing?
How agents should handle missing evidence without inventing certainty.
When should you trust a probabilistic forecast?
A practical test for knowing when a probabilistic forecast deserves trust.
Why accuracy alone is not enough for oil-spill detection
Why rare oil pixels make accuracy a weak headline metric.